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Cotton export performance and constraints in Sudan, Dr. Imad Eldin E. A. Yousif

Dr. Imad Eldin Elfadil Abdel Karim Yousif
King Saud University
Saudi Arabia

DOI: 10.47556/J.IJSR.5.2.2015.3

Purpose: The paper analyzed the major factors that constrained cotton export earnings in Sudan.

Design: A vector error correction model is applied to estimate short run and long run effects of the main factors constraining cotton exports. Data from 1970-2014 were used in the model estimation.

Findings: The results showed that yield and exchange rate both affect cotton export earnings in the long run, but there is no strong relationship in the short run. A greater coefficient of the error-correcting term means that the variables in the model are adjusting faster from the short run to the long run equilibrium.

Practical implications: Adopting policy that leads to improvement of yield and stabilization of exchange rate to restore cotton export earnings especially in the long run.

Value: The model developed for cotton export value captured the dynamic between long run and short run equilibrium.

Keywords: Cotton Export, Low Yield, Unstable Exchange Rate, Sudan

Citation: Yousif, I.E.E.A.K., (2015) : Cotton export performance and constraints in Sudan, International Journal of Sudan Research, Vol. 5, No. 2, pp.131-144

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